The camp of the Allied Peoples Movement (APM) presidential candidate, Seyi Makinde, has predicted that President Bola Tinubu could lose in 12 states and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) during the 2027 presidential election.
The group attributed its prediction to what it described as growing public anger over economic hardship, the rising cost of living and alleged political arrogance within the Tinubu administration.
In a statement issued on Saturday, Richard Ihediwa, the Director of Strategic Communications for the Makinde camp, maintained that planned visits by the President to some of the affected states would not change voters’ minds about his re-election bid.
According to the statement, the states where the group expects Tinubu to face significant electoral challenges are Rivers, Oyo, Kaduna, Plateau, Borno, Enugu, Bauchi, Sokoto, Delta, Kano, Adamawa and Lagos. The FCT was also included in its prediction.
The camp argued that economic difficulties experienced by Nigerians under the current administration could influence voting decisions in the 2027 presidential election.
It also accused Tinubu and members of his inner circle of worsening public dissatisfaction through what it described as political arrogance.
The group further alleged that the administration had spent trillions of naira on wasteful programmes and projects while many Nigerians continued to struggle with the high cost of living.
However, the claims represent the position of the Makinde camp and do not establish how voters in the listed states will ultimately vote in 2027.
“Mr President should know that his visit to these states, if he eventually does, will not in any way change the direction or the determination of the people to vote him out,” the statement said.
The group challenged Tinubu to proceed with his planned visits and engage directly with voters in the affected states, insisting that such engagements would not reverse the political mood it claims to have identified.
“We challenge President Tinubu not to have a change of mind but visit the states to face the people,” it added.
The prediction comes amid political positioning ahead of the 2027 general election, with economic conditions, public confidence in the government and the performance of political parties expected to feature prominently in the campaign debate.
Whether the opposition camp’s forecast will translate into actual electoral losses for Tinubu remains uncertain, as the outcome will depend on voter preferences, political alliances, campaign strategies and developments before election day.